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Bail Out Limbo
September 26th, 2008 4:45 PM
Looks like the markets and mortgage backed securities will remain in flux in the immediate future until an agreement can be reached on the proposed $700 billion bail-out.  Next week should make for a very interesting time in the financial industry and the economy as a whole.  Stay tuned!

Posted by John Paunan on September 26th, 2008 4:45 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Government to Seize Fannie and Freddie
September 6th, 2008 1:54 AM
It is expected that the Federal Government will assume control of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the short term.  Though this measure is certainly drastic, it is expected to be short lived in the form of a conservatorship, meaning after being overhauled they will both be returned to private control.  This move is expected to stabilize the secondary mortgage market; uncertainty in the markets around Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should subside, making it easier for the companies to get access to funding at cheaper rates. That, in turn, could have a spillover effect in the overall market for mortgages, lowering interest rates and helping the battered housing market recover.

Posted by John Paunan on September 6th, 2008 1:54 AMPost a Comment (0)

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Existing Home Sales
August 25th, 2008 9:12 AM
Existing home sales increased by 3.1 percent in July, which is more than the expected 1.6 percent.  They are still down 13.2 percent from last year, but this is another indicator that we may have hit bottom in the real estate market.  Unfortunately, credit markets are still in turmoil and more losses will be reported, which in turn will make borrowing money more expensive.  Nevertheless, this is good news.  The only way we'll emerge from this mess, i.e., banks making up some of their losses, is if people begin borrowing to refinance or buy homes again. 

Posted by John Paunan on August 25th, 2008 9:12 AMPost a Comment (0)

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Overreaction
August 18th, 2008 7:58 PM

Today U.S. stocks declined the most in more than a week, led by banking and real estate shares, as growing speculation the government will bail out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac rattled the mortgage market.

As has been happening in Wall Street for the better part of year, traders are overreacting to speculative news regarding financial institutions.  Rumors destroyed Bear Stearns, IndyMac and now it looks like they are adversely affecting the world's largest residential lending bodies.  Both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are government backed agencies, and account for over $1 trillion of residential loans, so no, the federal government would never let those institutions fail.  They have suffered because of poor performing loans and no one should be taken by surprise with this information.  I can't but feel that there is some market manipulation occurring here that is enriching those parties that know how to game the system, i.e., short trading. 

Residential finance and real estate will recover.  Wall Street and the government seem unprepared in dealing with our current economic state. 


Posted by John Paunan on August 18th, 2008 7:58 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Nice plug for Zillow
August 15th, 2008 3:02 PM
As I'm sure many of you are aware, I am a huge fan of Zillow.com and its mortgage marketplace.  Well, here's a nice article describing the site and how its worked so far.  It's a nice way of receiving anonymous mortgage quotes without having to disclose too much information.  If you're requesting in Illinois, then you'll definitely be receiving a quote from Integrity Mortgage.

Posted by John Paunan on August 15th, 2008 3:02 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Another Great New Reason to Buy!
August 13th, 2008 2:54 PM

Housing & Economic Recovery Act of 2008

The Federal Government is now providing a $7500 tax credit for all qualifed first-time homebuyers purchasing between April 8, 2008 and July 1, 2009.  

There are income limits which are as follows: $150,000 married, $75,000 single.  The tax credit is phased out if your income is higher than those limits. 

Now the tax credit will be paid back to the government at $500/year over 15 years, interest free, so technically it's really a temporary credit.  Nevertheless, it amounts to an interest free loan from the federal government, which is a positive and it helps make home buying that much more attractive in a difficult market. 

There are some fantastic bargains available out there, and now there's just a little more available to take advantage of those bargains.  


Posted by John Paunan on August 13th, 2008 2:54 PMPost a Comment (0)

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What affects mortgage rates?
August 13th, 2008 2:39 PM

Many have asked what market trends influence mortgage rates?  It's a fairly complicated question and contrary to the general public perception, it has little to nothing to do with the Fed's funds rate, which is what we hear on most media outlets.  Perhaps the simplest or easiest way to track mortgage rates is to keep a look out at treasury bonds on bloomberg.com.  If you see bonds trending higher, and conversely yields heading lower, then generally we'll see improvements in mortgage rates, meaning they'll go lower. If bonds go lower (and yields higher), then mortgage rates will increase. 

Obviously, there are some exceptions to this because there are other factors that will influence rates.  For instance, bonds may be performing very well because the stock market is down, but if it's financial stocks that are dragging down the market because mortgage backed securities are performing poorly (such as with the market today) then you will still see increases in mortgage rates.


Posted by John Paunan on August 13th, 2008 2:39 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Some good news...some
August 7th, 2008 9:05 AM
According to economist Celia Chen of dismal.com, some recent economic data may be indicating a bottom for the housing market will be reached soon: Sharp inventory growth has stopped, even though inventories of homes for sale remain high and reduced home prices, related to distress sales are making homes more affordable and stabilizing demand. Also, the sharp cutbacks in new residential construction have also slowed. Although construction activity remains weak it is expected to flatten out over the next year. However, some risks remain to the turnaround in housing: further and more severe job losses and continued credit turmoil could make it difficult to obtain a home loan.

Posted by John Paunan on August 7th, 2008 9:05 AMPost a Comment (0)

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Tip for online shoppers
August 6th, 2008 9:07 AM

We all love to shop online for just about anything.  From trinkets you find on ebay, to houses and financing for those houses.  Whenever buying online, it's always important to know just who you're dealing with, right?  You want to know whether the seller is credible and will deliver what you expect.  Now considering how important that is for tangible items (again those trinkets), it's even more so with intangible items such as financial advising and lending.  How do you know if that person will deliver what you expect and what they've promised?  You will need to do your homework. 

Luckily, you have the internet.  It's not just a great tool for finding an item or service you've been looking for, but it's a great researching tool for making sure you're dealing with a credible source.  This may seem like common sense, but I'm still surprised by the number of people who've told me that they didn't do any kind of background check on their accountant, attorney, loan officer, etc.  Even with people who are referred by family and friends, it's still important to do your own research.  It doesn't take long and it could save you in the long run. 


Posted by John Paunan on August 6th, 2008 9:07 AMPost a Comment (0)

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